My doctorate is in political science so this article is particularly appealing to me as my dissertation was steeped in statistics and quantitative research which is exactly what is in involved in polls. So, while, this article from the 538 blog might be too much information for your students, it would be a great background for you to explain some of the nuisances of how statisticians know who might win an election. In this case, the author, Nate Silver discusses the fact that the US Senate now has a 53% chance of going Republican - a number that has been going down.
![](<div dir="ltr" style="text-align: left;" trbidi="on"> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-6eIlPKvkU2I/TlqhssnGzcI/AAAAAAAAB3c/bXB7oCUuB5I/s1600/cover_thumb_paletz.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-6eIlPKvkU2I/TlqhssnGzcI/AAAAAAAAB3c/bXB7oCUuB5I/s1600/cover_thumb_paletz.png" /></a></div> I have been waiting for <a href="http://catalog.flatworldknowledge.com/catalog/editions/378">this e-book</a> for three months since fellow blogger Frank Franz (Pantherfan) told me about it. It is an entirely free AP book complete with pictures and loads as quickly as others out there. It is put out by Flat Knowledge. If nothing else I would tell your students about it for an additional resource. </div>)
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