The 538 blog has a telling series of charts showing who went to Iowa and New Hampshire in 07 and now in 11. Some candidates have skipped one or the other, but not both. So the early stats on the Repubs have Santorum (who can't think he will get far after losing is senate race in 08), Gingrich, Pawlenty, Cain, Buchanan, but not Daniels, Palin and barely Trump and Romney. So if the stats tell anything, this is telling.
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